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Last week Chris Vermeulen of The Gold and Oil Guy and JW Jones partners in Technical Traders Ltd. posted a very good article on the relationships of market timing, dynamics and gold and US Dollar prices. In this article they reveal some simple but revealing techniques  that will help you to understand the markets better. Here’s the link

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen of The Gold & Oil Guy and Technical Traders has some brilliant partners that from time to time give us some really high quality information for free. This is one of those times. This recent interview is full of insights on working with the precious metals markets and what to look for in the coming weeks and months. Towards the end there is some really sound advice on money management and understanding risk.

David Banister is the Chief Strategist at ActiveTradingPartners.com and also Themarkettrendforecast.com.  He has been on Wall Street Window, Your Traders Edge Magazine, The Street.com and more in the past few weeks as his work is getting well known and widely followed. 

Yesterday, David did a rare Roundtable Discussion with Gary Wagner and Kerry Lutz on Gold and investing strategies.  In connection with this discussion, David is offering a special $100 off a 1 year subscription to his incredible The Market Trend Forecast service which covers Gold, Silver, and the SP 500 amongst other indices with amazing forecasts of key highs and lows and short and long term directions for investors and traders alike.

LISTEN NOW:

http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/listen-banister-wagner-on-precious-metals/

In connection with his successful forecasts, David is offering you a 33% DISCOUNT for only the next 24 hours to his highly acclaimed forecast service.  You can access the coupon code and this offer at www.MarketTrendForecast.com Subscribing gets you 3-5 updates per week delivered to your Email whether intra-day or pre or post market.

Chris Vermeulen’s market summary videos are oh so valuable. If you are a subscriber you get a couple of these per week plus special reports and trade alerts.

I just went back to last Tuesday’s report to help formulate my thinking for trading this week. Here’s the link. Tuesday Feb 2nd

In this video Chris looks at a range of market signals and chart analysis which he blends together to tell you how likely various forward movements are and the relationships between the major markets. The last few days are in fact playing out in relation to what he talked about. Here is an example of just on of the market indicators that he is using and explaining. This is a chart of the percentage of stocks above their 20day moving average. Chris explains in the video how to use this chart to guide your trading, lower risk and pick entry and exit points. Valuable stuff for sure.

Chris also discusses another chart that looks at the percentage of stocks above their50 day moving average.

In summary Chris is looking for a significant pull back situation to go with some long trade as the bull rally continues.

Subscription to Chris’s service is total value for money, but note that what you get for free is definitely worth following and learning from. Check out the other entries on our site. You will be glad you did.

Hi there

Get the latest market analysis from Chris Vermeulen, The Gold & Oil Guy. Really good info for free which demonstrates the winning approach that Chris uses. Go to the current Gold & Oil Guy video.

November 2011-Jan 2012 Positions at ATP

(Bonus Stocks we trade around)

Here is a great new trading idea from David Bannister at Active Traders Website. Active Trading Partners is one of the programs that runs in parrallel with Chris Vermeulen, The Gold & Oil Guy

Have a look at these results.

6 Bonus Positions from November into January all inclusive with results using our proprietary method of fundamental research, but more importantly mathematical modeling for timing of entry and exit.  This model was developed in 2008-09 difficult market conditions for ETF trading.  However, it has now been developed and expanded to include individual stocks with stunning results.

We are unaware of any other service using the same methodology for timing entry and exits:

At ATP we have incorporated what we call “Bonus Research Stocks” into a cue of tradeable positions that we can enter and exit out of with real time trim, buy, sell alerts to members. We believe that keeping a revolving cue of 6-12 stocks that are tradeable and that we also like the fundamentals on can be extremely profitable using our proprietary timing system.

We also add in some longer term positions that we hold, and also include what we call “Active Trades” which are scalp trades intra-day or a few days with entry, exit, stops etc.

The cost of ATP works out to about $11 per trading day per quarter.  We think it’s a great investment and less than the cost of one Round Trip trade at a discount broker.  Our Chief Strategist, David Banister has developed this timing system over years of research and is now actively using it in real time for ATP members in 2012 with stunning results.

Join us now and we will give you $150 off the first 90 days, and free TMTF (TheMarketTrendForecast.com) subscription as well that covers SP 500, Gold, Silver, and other indices. 

Go to the Active Traders Website and subscribe by using coupon code AD499ATP in the coupon code field at the bottom of the sign up form. Sign up for quarterly and the discount will be applied at checkout, and you will get TMTF for free as well.

Email Dave@ActiveTradingPartners.com with questions

Hi there this a a quick news update from Chris Vermeulen. His New Years Membership special has been extended to midnight Wednesday. If you are considering taking advantage of this get in now.

Chris has just posted a really good ‘big picture’ video which looks at where things are going in 2012. This video is well worth watching and you can view it free here.

You can get all the info you want on the Gold and Oil Guy and what it can do for your trading from our special Gold and Oil Guy page

Timothy Sykes the Penny Stock Millionaire has had a phenomenal year and in this report he spills the beans on how he assembles his watch list of stocks that he will look to short sell on spikes over the coming year. He has a proven record with this strategy and of course this strategy works if the markets are flat or dropping.  Look at this recent performance from Tim below.

You can get all the info you know on Tim’s various free resources and membership options at our Penny Stocks Millionaire web page.

Recent Performance

Here is Tim’s latest post on how he finds his watch list of Microcap pump and dump stocks for short selling opportunities.

My 4 newsletters and these other 5 newsletters here on Profitly are all about giving you trading ideas.

That’s why it’s SO important for you to take advantage of this 60-70% off on annual subscriptions holiday sale ending TOMORROW JANUARY 1ST so you can literally save 60-70% for life and get trading/investment ideas at ridiculously discounted prices FOR LIFE.

Here are some trading ideas for 2012:

Some people like buying stocks, like this penny stock trader and he’s had great success profiting sometimes $25,000 within just a few hours…

But contrary to widespread belief, as I posted the evidence the other day that the stock market is a scam, finding the best stocks in any one year is not about picking which companies will thrive the most — that’s a crapshoot as industries change too fast these days to have any clear long term vision, as the terrible performance of long term investors the past few years demonstrates — the best stocks in any one year comes down to finding the biggest scams and WORST companies…and short selling them whenever they spike.

This contrarian strategy made me a millionaire by age 22, its earned me 50%+ each of the past few years even as the stock market as a whole has been flat to down and I’m proud to say I am the single most hated blogger by smallcap companies, all of which I’ve achieved by age 30…not to mention this strategy has made my students millions of dollars in the past few years as evidenced by these 3 fine charts:

$1.7 million in TIMalert subscriber profits, the $1.5 million in PennyStocking Silver subscriber profits and the rapidly rising profits of my Trading Challenge students (check out their profit chart)

I’m sorry to pick on my ex-friend Chris Lahiji — yup, when you’re a short seller on the opposite side of the smallcap pumping world, no matter how much you like each other, friendships die quick deaths…and Chris shame on you, you should know better, you might be making $ now, but there’s no long term business models in screwing over investors) — but each year he puts on the LDMicro conference featuring the absolute WORST smallcap and microcap companies most desperate to raise cash and gain exposure to get their stock prices higher ASAP so they can stay in business and pay their incompetent management teams.

(Before being exposed as scumbags for bringing a whole bunch of Chinese frauds exposure they never should have received and sending me a cease & desist letter which I responded to publicly and never heard from the snakes again, Red Chip used to throw annual conferences for these toxic companies…unfortunately people caught on after a few years as nearly all the companies at their conferences went bankrupt and their stocks dropped 99%+…LOL sad but true)

Each of the past 2 years I’ve posted HERE and HERE lists of Lahiji’s year-end conference companies and year in year out, these are the best stocks for the upcoming year…to short sell them…if and when they ever spike as any spike is sold into by the desperate shareholders/bagholders who have been in far too long and jump at the chance to exit these failures and the stock drop quickly, thus making them THE BEST STOCKS FOR 2012.

Despite taking message board heat from people dumber and poorer than TMcnasty (many of whom are paid promoters or employees of these carcass companies pretending to be investors attempting to lure other investors into these bottomless pits…yes if the SEC ever cleaned up online message boards, I’d estimate 75-95% of smallcap and microcap company executives would be busted), Lahiji’s conference lists are the single best resource available to create a watchlist to short sell.

Don’t believe me? 2009’s list NAILED a bunch of scams, bankruptcies and most importantly 90%+ stock drops, as did 2010’s list. Look at how some of the 2010 conference companies fared, if you go through the whole list, you’ll see this chart pattern again and again and again and remember I warned time and again HERE and HERE and HERE on stocks like CrowdGather Inc (CRWG) that have dropped 90%+ despite being featured by “professional blogger” Michael Arrington HERE…CRWG’s CEO declined a request by Mixergy’s Andrew Warner to publicly debate me as to whether or not his company is a blatant pump and dump…investors who didn’t believe me were forced to endure this chart in 2011:

I Was Right, Michael Arrington Is A Moron

The CRWG Crow chart (a reference to the chart pattern explained in depth in my original PennyStocking DVD) is not unique among Lahiji’s conference list, it’s the DOMINANT chart pattern for companies both in 2009 and 2010…that is if the companies manage to even stay in business until year end as message board favourite/Lahiji conference attendee EGMI succumbed early and had a host of fraud charges too)

Typical Lahiji Conference Company Stock Chart

ypical Lahiji Conference Company Stock Chart

I’m glad that Lahiji, despite the damning statistical evidence against him, has grown his conference each year from 64 to 80 to this year’s turnout of 100 companies because it just gives us more opportunities to short sell…no different from the 70+ pump and dumps which dropped 90%+ listed in this video (actually there are some overlaps in this video with Lahiji conference companies, SEC go hmmmmm)

Chris Vermuelen this year has crushed the S&P 500 By 47.3%. For Second Half of 2011 With A 90% Success Rate On My Trades.

"I’ve pocketed 49.1% in total gains in the last 6 months!"

Despite the insanity of recent market volatility and overseas financial issues, my followers and I are enjoying continued success with my TheGoldAndOilGuy program. We’ve earned a robust 8.13% monthly average return in the second half of 2011… all during a time when most traders were either losing their shirts or sitting on the sidelines.

Are you making money in these wild market conditions? If you were a subscriber you would have pocketed an easy 3.25% in our recent trade. If you didn’t make any money in the most recent selloff and bounce don’t worry. 2012 looks like it will be another highly profitable year with plenty of trends to be a part of.

Read Chris’ Trade Ideas for 2012 Here:

Recent ETF Trades:

SDS 3.25%, Dec 20
SDS 8.3%, Nov 25
SCO 3.6%, Oct 21
SDS (6%), Oct 10
SDS 7.95, Oct 4
UUP 3%, Sept 22

SCO 18.7%, Sept 22
SDS 7.3%, Sept 2
HXD 10% Sept 2
CEF 4.6%, Aug 24
GLD 10%, Aug 24
SSO 2.6%, Aug 10

If you’re ready to discover how to trade successfully in the shortest time possible, Then you need to get in on this special one-time deal being offered today…

New Year’s Special! Get 12 Months for Price of 6 Months

Save $198 if you sign up today on your first year

December 28th, 2011 at 9:50 pm

Here’s a little example of the great mentoring and tips I am getting from Chris Vermuelen at The Gold & Oil Guy. Have a look at this information and you get an idea of how he works and just how good he is. One thing that stands out with Chris is that he is a very good teacher and he understands the process that a new trader must go through to become successful. As a result Chris takes his trader group through a process that allows them to make very simple and highly successful trades with his advice.

Right Now Chris has a New Years Special going that is pretty close to be too good to be true. This is a very well priced service that you can now get into for nearly half price.  Even at the full price I believe Chris is better than a big line-up of signal and mentor services that charge many times more than Chris does. Trading is not hard if you have someone showing you the ropes with an appropriate strategy and rock hard risk management.

Trade Ideas for 2012 Special Offer

Over to Chris…………………………………………………..

The last week of the year volume tends to be light due to the fact that big money traders are busy enjoying the holidays and waiting for their yearend bonuses.

I was not planning on doing much this week because of the low volume but after reviewing some charts and risk levels on my top 5 trading vehicles I could not help but share my findings with everyone last Friday.

You can see what I talked about on Friday here: http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/311-21.html

This Wednesday turned out to be an exciting session with all 5 of my trade ideas moving in our favour right on queue.

Charts of the 5 investments moving in the directions we anticipated …
- Dollar bounced off support

- Stocks are topping and selling off today

- Oil looks to have topped and is selling off

- Gold and Silver are moving lower

- VIX (Volatility Index) just bounced

Many of my readers took full advantage of my recent analysis and trade ideas which is great to hear.  All the different ways individuals used to make money from Friday’s analysis is mind blowing…

The most common trade is the oil one with most traders adding more to Tuesday when the price reached its key resistance level on the chart. Also many traders took partial profits Wednesday locking in 3% or more in two days using the SCO ETF.

It’s amazing how many people like to trade the VIX using ETFs. The best trade from followers thus far was an 8% gain in TVIX which was bought 4 days ago anticipating the pop in volatility which I had been talking about last week. Keep in mind ETFs for trading the VIX are not very good in general. I stay away from them, but TVIX is the best I found so far.

Currently stocks are oversold falling sharply from the pre-market highs. Meaning stocks have fallen too far too fast and a bounce is likely to take place Thursday.

Also we saw some panic selling hit the market today with 14 sellers to 1 buyer. That level tells me that the market needs some time to recover and build up strength for another selloff later this week or next. We will see this pause unfold when the SP500 drifts higher for a session or two with light buying volume. This will confirm sellers are in control and give us another short setup.

In my Wednesday morning video I explained how/where to set stops when using leveraged ETFs because I know 90% of traders using them do not have a clue as to how to do this and they get shaken out of their trades just before a top or bottom. So if you want to learn more about it watch this morning’s video please: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDagN5Vpvys

I hope this helps you understand things more… Over time you will pickup on a lot of new trading tips, tools and techniques with this free newsletter so just give it time and keep trades small until you are comfortable with my analysis.

ONE TIME OFFER for 2012!
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Trade Ideas for 2012 Special Offer

Below is a post from J.W. Jones is a partner with Chris Vermuelen the Gold and Oil Guy. J.W. has a trade signal service called Options Trading Signals. J.W.  has an outstanding trading record and shares a lot of the same techniques of market analysis with Chris Vermuelen.

December 20, 2011 By J.W. Jones

The wild and manic year of 2011 is finally starting to wind down as 2012 rapidly approaches. Market participants are waiting to see if Santa shows up with a present or a lump of coal for Wall Street this year. Performance anxiety is becoming apparent as professional money managers are running out of time to meet their stated benchmark performance.

Hyper-beta stocks such as AAPL and GOOG are likely to be well bid as money managers will chase Beta into year end if prices grind higher. This time of year volume generally dries up and volatility comes out of the marketplace giving the bulls a slight edge in terms of short term price action. While I expect some choppy price action the next two weeks, I believe strongly that we are at a major inflection point.

There are potential warning signs showing up in guidance reductions that seemingly continue to come out. Semiconductors as well as industries which are exposed to emerging markets seem to be indicating that economic conditions may be worsening as a result of the fiscal issues stemming from Europe and a possible slow down in emerging market economies like China.

Just as the end of the year usually leads to light volume drifts higher, it also produces predictions from economists, traders, and famous market prognosticators. No worries, I am not about to produce a list of my predictions as I think it is a futile endeavor. However, I want to point out a divergence in price action in 2011 that continues to defy what most market professionals would have expected in 2011.

The divergence is not some fancy proprietary indicator, but the performance differentials of the S&P 500 Index and 30 Year Treasury bonds. The table below, courtesy of Morningstar illustrates the performance of Treasury bonds year to date as of Friday’s close:

As can be seen above, the Long-Term U.S. Government Bond has returned 23.16% in 2011. Back in January of 2011 had I been informed that as of the close on December 16, 2011 30 Year Treasury Bonds would have returned more than 20% to investors I would have been shocked. Furthermore, I would have expected U.S. equities to have been pounded lower. Treasuries truly have rallied, but the S&P 500 was only trading 3% lower for the year as of the close on December 16^th. So what does this divergence mean?

Obviously astute readers would point out that the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies have had a major impact on Treasury prices and I do not disagree. However, the divergence is remarkable in that either equities are extremely overvalued or Treasuries are overvalued going into 2012. From a long-term technical standpoint, the price action in both underlying assets reveals that we are truly at a major inflection point and the near term price direction will give us clues. The daily chart of the S&P 500 and the weekly chart of the 30-Year Treasury Bond are shown below:

S&P 500 Daily Chart

As can be seen above, a smaller wedge broke down back in November which resulted in a loss of roughly 80 S&P handles in a matter of a few weeks. The price pattern on the daily chart is now in an even larger wedge formation. This type of formation stores significant amounts of “market energy” which will result in a significant move in the price action when a breakdown or a breakout occurs.

30-Year Treasury Bond Weekly Chart

The 30-Year Treasury Bond is on the verge of breaking out to new all time highs as early as this week. The flip side of the bullish argument is that price will fail carving out a double top and sending Treasury prices considerably lower. The S&P 500 is trading in a triangle on the daily chart and the 30 Year Treasury Bond is on the verge of breaking out to the upside. Typically cycles break with the news and I expect a major announcement to take place in coming days / weeks that will enlighten us as to whether the S&P 500 or long term government bonds are expensive.

Clearly Europe will have a major impact on which direction price action ultimately breaks for both Treasury Bonds and the S&P 500. Fourth quarter earnings and final gross domestic product numbers will also be quite telling as to the strength of the marketplace. However, the U.S. Dollar and the Federal Reserve’s forward monetary policy in 2012 will likely seal the fate for both government bonds and equities.

My contention is that the Federal Reserve may find themselves in quite a predicament which may not have a positive long term outcome for the United States regardless of their decision. If Europe starts to fall apart, I will be shocked if the Federal Reserve does not come out with QE III.

The implication of QE III could be quite severe and could cause the Dollar to fall off of a cliff. The Federal Reserve would rather have inflation than deflation, that is without debate. If Europe starts to falter, deflation will become the buzz word and the Federal Reserve will likely act.

If Europe starts to break down and the Federal Reserve does nothing I expect to see a major selloff in risk assets as money will pour into the short term safety and liquidity of U.S. Dollars and Treasuries.

If the Fed initiates QE III, risk assets will rally sharply as gold, silver, oil, and the S&P 500 will benefit. Commodities will enter their final bubble while the S&P 500 eventually would break down violently as interest rates and higher commodity prices hammer the economic cycle.

The daily chart of the U.S. Dollar Index and the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Index are shown below:

U.S. Dollar Daily Chart

The U.S. Dollar is trading in a consolidation zone near the recent highs. In addition, the U.S. Dollar Index has traced out a rising wedge pattern which could ultimately break in either direction and reinforces that a major inflection point is upon us.

A pullback that tests the lower support level seems likely based on seasonality. These charts are all indicative that something is brewing in the early part of 2012 which may result in major moves in a variety of underlying asset classes.

Reuters/Jefferies Commodity Index Daily Chart

The CRB Index is trading right at key support. Price action could form a double bottom and bounce higher to test the descending resistance line shown above. I would point out the oversold nature of the CRB Index presently. A bounce appears likely, the question is whether price will be able to push through resistance.

A bounce may work off oversold conditions and allow for a major retest of the October 2011 lows. It is not an accident that major underlying asset classes are all coiled up in what is going to be a major move in the early part of 2012. The stage is set, the only question is which outcome and price direction occurs.

I would point out that the Dollar is trading in a tight consolidation zone presently and could break in either direction while the Commodity Index could either be putting in a double bottom (bullish) or possibly could breakdown to new lows. The stage is set for 2012, the question is which direction Mr. Market will choose?

I do not have an opinion at this point in time as to how this situation will finally be resolved. I plan on monitoring the price action while waiting patiently for breakouts in either direction to be confirmed. Europe and the U.S. Dollar are going to be critical in 2012, that is obvious.

We are presently at a major inflection point and frankly whether Santa Claus comes to Wall Street in 2011 is not nearly as important as what happens in the 1^st Quarter of 2012 as all of these charts will likely see some form of resolution. Be careful out there.

Get these weekly reports and trade ideas free here: www.Optionnacci.com

JW Jones

This material should not be considered investment advice. J.W. Jones is not a registered investment advisor. Under no circumstances should any content from this article or the OptionsTradingSignals.com website be used or interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any type of security or commodity contract. This material is not a solicitation for a trading approach to financial markets. Any investment decisions must in all cases be made by the reader or by his or her registered investment advisor. This information is for educational purposes only.